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A league-average NFL aegis allows about 350 absolute yards per game. Over their aftermost two games, the Panthers accept accustomed 908 yards, including abhorrent point totals of 38 and 30 to Baltimore and Pittsburgh. Until RE Greg Hardy (suspension) allotment and/or WLB Thomas Davis (hip, leg) demonstrates he is 100% healthy, Carolina’s aegis can’t be feared for fantasy antagonism purposes. Panthers LE Charles Johnson will try to comedy through a hip flexor injury. … Shake off aftermost week’s second-half academician fart adjoin the Packers and blaze up Jay Cutler as a top-shelf Anniversary 4 QB1. Through one month, Cutler is on clip for 40 touchdown passes and 4,024 yards. He’s additionally supplemented his box array with 68 hasty yards over Chicago’s aftermost three games. While managing aloof one sack, Carolina has been torched by Ben Roethlisberger and Joe Flacco for 44-of-61 casual (72.1%) for 523 yards and a 5:0 TD-to-INT arrangement the accomplished two weeks. … Cutler’s Weeks 1-4 ambition distribution: Martellus Bennett 37; Brandon Marshall and Alshon Jeffery 32; Matt Forte 30; Santonio Holmes 10; Josh Morgan 6. … The Panthers accept been stingy adjoin bound ends — 25th in fantasy credibility accustomed to the position — but Bennett is caked as an every-week amateur as Chicago’s ambition leader. Capitalizing on an added accepting role and earning Cutler’s trust, Bennett is alive canyon routes on 61.3% of his snaps, and actuality targeted on 14.9%. Aftermost year, Bennett alone ran routes on 56.7% of his plays and was targeted 9.7% of the time.

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Jeffery has 169 absolute yards and a TD the accomplished two weeks and is a locked-in WR1 with Marshall still angry a sprained ankle. The Panthers accept benched their bigger corner, 6-foot-1, 206-pound Melvin White, acceptable the Bears’ adeptness to actualize mismatches. Jeffery is 6-foot-3, 216 and Marshall is 6-foot-4 1/2, 229. … I apprehend Marshall’s yardage has aghast in back-to-back weeks, but he plays aperture receiver in Chicago’s three-wide amalgamation and will do action there with amateur Bene Benwikere, who is Carolina’s aboriginal bend (5’11/195). Whenever Marshall dresses for games, you alpha him. Marshall played 88% of the Bears’ Anniversary 4 snaps and accomplished in abounding all this week. … Aback from an early-season beam injury, Morgan ran advanced of Holmes in aftermost Sunday’s blow to the Packers. The Bears accept accustomed Morgan slot-receiver snaps while application Holmes about carefully at “X.” So if Marshall anytime absent a game, Chicago would amount to use a two-man circling adverse Jeffery. … The Panthers’ aegis has imploded adjoin the run. Afterwards captivated Bucs and Lions tailbacks to 83 scoreless yards on 30 carries (2.77 YPC) in Weeks 1-2, Carolina was gutted for 389 yards and three touchdowns on 60 carries (6.48 YPC) by Le’Veon Bell, LeGarrette Blount, Justin Forsett, and Lorenzo Taliaferro in Weeks 3-4. Agilely advancing off his season-best game, attending for accession big accomplishment from Matt Forte, whose buy-low window is about to bang shut. … I was bottomward on amateur Ka’Deem Carey afterwards the preseason, but he generated 72 yards on 14 carries (5.14 YPC) off the bank aftermost anniversary while accepting absolutely bisected of his yardage afterwards contact, per PFF. Amid handcuffs, Carey has one of the smoothest paths to an every-down aback job in the blow of a Forte injury. Consider stashing him.

Carolina’s abhorrent band was manhandled by Ravens defenders Terrell Suggs, Haloti Ngata, Elvis Dumervil, and Pernell McPhee in aftermost week’s loss, but Chicago’s aegis isn’t about as fearsome. I like the over on Vegas’ bourgeois 45.5-point bump for Bears-Panthers. I additionally like Cam Newton’s affairs at a backlash week. Although his fantasy assembly has been characterless to this point, Newton is agilely adequate his finest division as a authentic passer and should accept a mostly-clean abridged adjoin Chicago’s sub-par canyon rush, which generated little-to-no calefaction on Aaron Rodgers in Anniversary 4. Newton is abundant added low-end QB1 than the top-five quarterback he accomplished as in his aboriginal three NFL seasons, but he’s a solid Anniversary 5 play. … Cam’s ambition administration on the year: Kelvin Benjamin 25; Greg Olsen 19; Jason Avant 16; Jerricho Cotchery 11; Philly Brown 10; Jonathan Stewart 4; Brenton Bersin 3. … One ages in, able amateur wideout Benjamin is on clip for 84 catches, 1,316 yards, and 12 touchdowns. Opposing No. 1 receiver carbon curve adjoin the Bears the accomplished three weeks are 7-82-1 (Michael Crabtree), 10-108-2 (Jordy Nelson), and 7-81-1 (Jeremy Kerley). … Afterwards missing Anniversary 3 with a hamstring injury, Cotchery alternate to accomplish two arresting downfield catches in aftermost week’s blow to Baltimore, finishing with a 5-80 band on seven targets. He would be a low-upside cycle of the dice adjoin Chicago. Attending for Benjamin to coil with arresting Bears amateur RCB Kyle Fuller for best of this game, while Cotchery takes on adeptness adept LCB Tim Jennings.

The Bears haven’t accustomed up abundant fantasy assembly to bound ends, but they haven’t faced abounding acceptable ones. They played Scott Chandler in Anniversary 1, afore Vernon Davis larboard Anniversary 2 with an abate injury. They’ve played Jeff Cumberland and Richard Rodgers the accomplished two weeks. Apprehend a backlash d for Olsen afterward aftermost week’s division lows in catches (2) and yards (30). Olsen is still the No. 8 all-embracing bound end in fantasy. … Depleted by injuries, the Panthers’ backfield has been bargain to UDFA Darrin Reaves, passing-game specialist Fozzy Whittaker, and artery chargeless abettor Chris Ogbonnaya. I doubtable Carolina alive Ogbonnaya because he can canyon block, an breadth in which Reaves struggled in aftermost week’s blow to Baltimore. I do anticipate Reaves will advance the lath in carries. In Weeks 1-4, Chicago accustomed 49ers, Bills, Jets, and Packers tailbacks to amalgamate for 376 yards on 83 runs (4.53 YPC). The Bears accept yielded three hasty TDs in four games. Reaves ran with too abundant averseness aftermost anniversary and comes with an abominable lot of risk, but he is account angle application in this additional matchup. At his March Pro Day, Reaves ran 4.54 at 5-foot-7, 209 with atomic vertical (39.5″) and ample all-overs (10’3″).

Cleveland @ Tennessee

The Browns arise off their bye adequate and acclimatized at quarterback afterwards Brian Hoyer caked the job by commutual 64.2% of his passes and alienated turnovers in Cleveland’s aboriginal three games. Anniversary 5 sets up as accession befalling for Cleveland to ride its hasty advance and advance Hoyer as a low-volume d manager. In Weeks 2-4, Cowboys, Bengals, and Colts tailbacks formed the Titans for 424 yards and bristles TDs on 105 carries (4.04 YPC). Trent Richardson (20-47) torpedoed the per-carry average, but the point remains: Tennessee’s aegis is accessible to the run. Hoyer is a low-ceiling comedy in two-QB leagues. … Ben Tate accomplished every day this anniversary and will balance advance aback duties for Cleveland. Had Tate backward advantageous to this point — article he’s acutely connected struggled to do — I anticipate we’d be discussing him as an RB1 appropriate now. Ripping off over 30 hasty attempts per game, the Browns accept becoming a top-five PFF run-blocking grade, shredding opponents in OC Kyle Shanahan’s area scheme. Lock in Tate as an upside RB2 and ride him as connected as his anatomy cooperates. … Isaiah Crowell is Cleveland’s best tailback aptitude and charge be buried in all leagues, but the Browns’ abridgement of assurance in Crowell in the casual d bodes ailing for his affairs of overtaking Tate, abbreviate of accession injury. The undrafted amateur has been inconsistent in assault auto and has aloof one passing-game target. For as connected as Tate stays upright, Crowell is added acceptable to be a hammerback change of pace. Terrance West is bigger in canyon protection, acceptable one of the affidavit he played advanced of Crowell to this point.

Now abaft both Tate and Crowell, decline West to an RB5. He’s droppable in 10- and best 12-team leagues. … Hoyer’s Weeks 1-3 ambition distribution: Andrew Hawkins 32; Miles Austin 20; Taylor Gabriel 12; Jordan Cameron and Travis Benjamin 8; Gary Barnidge 6; West and Jim Dray 4; Crowell 1. … Advancing off a bye, this is the healthiest Cameron (shoulder) will apparently be all season. He played a able-bodied 85% of Cleveland’s abhorrent snaps in Anniversary 3 — afore the accessible date — and I’d apprehend Cameron to be in that aloft ambit this week. Tennessee allows the 11th best fantasy credibility to bound ends. … Alike with Cameron aback healthy, Hawkins was a pre-bye ambition monster adjoin the Ravens, seeing a team-high ten looks and converting seven for 87 yards. Hawkins is a solid WR3 in PPR adjoin a Titans aggregation that is absorption affective Blidi Wreh-Wilson to aperture corner, with Coty Sensabaugh accusation outside. Hawkins runs all over the accumulation and could capitalize on Tennessee’s back-end shuffling. At 5’7/180, Hawkins is consistently a poor bet for touchdowns, captivated his standard-league appeal. … Austin projects to run best of his routes into Titans top bend Jason McCourty’s coverage. Although Austin has denticulate a red-zone touchdown in back-to-back games, I apprehend his looks to activate activity in Cameron’s administration as anon as this week.

Before abandoned Titans drillmaster Ken Whisenhunt promised arresting amateur Bishop Sankey’s reps would access this anniversary due to “improved footwork,” Sankey’s acceptance was already on the rise. The aboriginal alive aback called in May’s draft, Sankey averaged 7.5 snaps per d in Weeks 1-2 but 25.5 in Weeks 3-4, over his aftermost two outings parlaying 16 runs into 95 yards (5.94 YPC) and a touchdown, on top of three receptions for 34 yards. The Titans gave Sankey a goal-line backpack in aftermost week’s blow to Indianapolis, which he accomplished from two yards out. His accord on casual downs has spiked, as well. Sankey is a high-upside Anniversary 5 angle comedy adjoin a all-a-quiver Browns run defense. In Weeks 1-3, Cleveland was tagged by Saints, Steelers, and Ravens tailbacks for a accumulated 413 yards and four touchdowns on 79 carries (5.23 YPC). … While Sankey’s arena time has risen, crammer early-down aback Shonn Greene’s has dropped. Afterwards administration 15 carries on Opening Day, Greene has averaged six per d since. Feel chargeless to cut Greene in all 12-team leagues. … Dexter McCluster’s breeze ante are 67%, 28%, and 18% over the accomplished three weeks. He has no business actuality rostered in 12- or 14-team leagues.

Jake Locker allotment from his sprained wrist adjoin the Browns. Although Cleveland has played sub-par canyon defense, Locker’s comedy warrants analysis as no added than a two-QB-league prayer. Locker is 35-of-68 casual (51.5%) for 419 yards (6.16 YPA) with a 1:4 TD-to-INT arrangement over his aftermost two games. … Locker’s ambition administration on the season: Delanie Walker 25; Kendall Wright 22; Justin Hunter 21; Nate Washington 15; McCluster 5; Taylor Thompson 4; Sankey 1. … In accession to Locker’s aberrant casual and his own disability to defended footballs, Hunter will accept to accord with Browns top CB Joe Haden’s advantage on Sunday. It’s not a abundant compound for Hunter’s long-awaited blemish game. … The abandoned reliable fantasy alpha in Tennessee’s pass-catching corps, Walker ranks third amid all NFL bound ends in targets (32), fourth in catches (22), additional in yards (317), and fourth in touchdowns (3). He’s the No. 1 advantage in Whisenhunt’s casual game. … Aloof a low-ceiling WR3 advantage at this point, aperture man Wright’s carbon curve in Locker’s aftermost two starts were 3-31-0 and 5-44-0. A high-percentage avenue agent but consistently a bloodless bet for touchdowns, Wright is a bigger comedy in PPR than accepted leagues.

Score Prediction: Browns 20, Titans 17

St. Louis @ Philadelphia

The Rams acknowledgment from their accessible date fielding the NFL’s best black defense. Admitting its ballyhooed advanced four, St. Louis has one sack as a aggregation through three games, and opponents are commutual 73.9% of their passes adjoin DC Gregg Williams’ group. Shake off Nick Foles’ scoreless Anniversary 4 d and blaze him up adjoin the Rams. Clearly defective acceptance in his alive game, Eagles drillmaster Chip Kelly dialed up afterwards canyon plays at the 49ers’ one-yard band with beneath two account larboard in aftermost week’s defeat, while abaft by bristles points. Foles ranks additional in the NFL in canyon attempts, and it isn’t by accident. He’ll be a gunslinger for the accountable future. … Foles’ Weeks 1-4 ambition distribution: Jeremy Maclin 47; Riley Cooper 25; Jordan Matthews 24; Darren Sproles 21; Zach Ertz 20; LeSean McCoy 11; Brent Celek 7. … Additional in the NFL in targets abaft alone Jordy Nelson, Maclin has becoming WR1 distinction. At the season’s division point, he’s on clip for 80 receptions, 1,412 yards, and 12 touchdowns. There is annihilation alarming about St. Louis’ secondary. … I’m not abiding any receiver has alone added ambitious touchdown passes than Cooper this year. He acutely does it every week. The Eagles accept still apparent no signs of abbreviation Cooper’s usage. In animosity of Cooper’s inefficiency, you could do worse than a 6-foot-3, 223-pound receiver in a additional antagonism as a bound throw. … Matthews’ account breeze ante are 66%, 49%, 64%, and 65%. So his role seems appealing bound in. Matthews’ 17 targets the accomplished two weeks are able abundant to accumulate him in the WR3 discussion.

Ertz’s breeze ante are 61%, 77%, 51%, and 72%. His Anniversary 5 antagonism is tougher than any of Philly’s wideouts. One year afterwards acceptance the atomic fantasy credibility in football to bound ends, the Rams captivated Kyle Rudolph to 16 yards in Anniversary 1, Brandon Myers to 33 in Anniversary 2, and Jason Witten to 49 scoreless yards on four receptions in Anniversary 3. Lean abroad from Ertz if you accept a clearly-superior option, but I still anticipate he’s a appropriate bet to account at home adjoin a bloodless Rams canyon defense. … Sproles was a point-scoring monster in the Eagles’ aboriginal two games. Over the accomplished two, the 31-year-old has been captivated to 56 absolute yards on eight touches with a absent fumble. Sproles is abstraction up as a boom-or-bust week-to-week angle option. … Rumors of a abiding accommodation toe abrasion abnormally affecting McCoy’s capability may or may not accept been accepted by Kelly’s aloft Anniversary 4 playcalling with the d on the line. Exacerbated by the Eagles’ depleted abhorrent line, McCoy has been a fantasy apprehension through four weeks. If Shady is activity to get on track, however, this is the week. Difference-making run acquaintance RT Lane Johnson is aback from suspension, and visiting St. Louis has been lit up by opposing arena games. In their aboriginal three games, the Rams coughed up 465 yards and four hasty TDs on 91 carries (5.11 YPC).

Rams drillmaster Jeff Fisher called Austin Davis his starting quarterback advancing off the accessible date afterwards Davis becoming the job by commutual 72.3% of his passes with an arresting 8.04 YPA and 3:3 TD-to-INT arrangement in Weeks 1-3. Quarterback performances adjoin the Eagles’ absorptive canyon aegis accept tricked some assemblage into hasty overreactions, such as aftermost week’s pre-Thursday night Kirk Cousins Hall of Fame induction. Davis is account a austere attending as a Anniversary 5 banderole and is a plug-and-play two-quarterback alliance starter. In Weeks 1-4, Philly was disconnected by Cousins, Chad Henne, Andrew Luck, and Colin Kaepernick for a accumulated 91-of-155 passing, 1,083 yards, and a 10:3 TD-to-INT ratio. The Eagles don’t assault the passer finer and their accessory is able-bodied beneath average. … Davis’ ambition administration through two and a bisected games: Jared Cook 19; Brian Quick 17; Lance Kendricks 14; Kenny Britt 9; Benny Cunningham and Austin Pettis 8; Zac Stacy 7; Chris Givens 6; Tavon Austin 3. … Cook is account a attending for TE1 streamers. The Eagles accept accustomed the 12th best receptions to bound ends (20) and Cook was Davis’ go-to guy in St. Louis’ aftermost game, parlaying a team-high nine targets into seven catches for 75 yards adjoin Dallas. Philly charcoal afterwards advantage adjudicator linebacker Mychal Kendricks (calf), so the antagonism is favorable for able-bodied if oft-enigmatic Cook.

While Quick has played 81% of the snaps over St. Louis’ aftermost two games, the Rams accept acclimated a lath adverse him. Britt has played 63% of the downs, Pettis 36%. Situational abysmal blackmail Givens has been in the d 22% of the time. Stedman Bailey alternate from his early-season abeyance in Anniversary 3 to comedy 13% of the snaps. Austin did not comedy adjoin Dallas, but is accepted aback from his knee abrasion this week. Beyond Cook and Quick, St. Louis’ pass-catching band is a fantasy wasteland. … Currently a top-20 all-embracing receiver in fantasy credibility per game, Quick has a adorable matchup. Quick runs best of his canyon routes at appropriate cornerbacks, area Eagles RCB Cary Williams roams. A big-play turnstile, Williams is Pro Football Focus’ No. 93 cornerback amid 100 qualifiers. PFF has charted Williams as accepting accustomed 65.5% of the 29 passes befuddled into his advantage to be completed for 266 yards (9.17 YPA), two touchdowns, and no interceptions. View Quick as a high-ceiling WR3 in a d area the Rams may accept to bandy generally to accumulate up. … The Eagles were arena admirable run aegis until they ran into Frank Gore aftermost week. Angry Frank pasted Philadelphia for 119 yards on 24 carries (4.96 YPC) with a 55-yard touchdown accession as the blooming on top. Stacy runs in a agnate address to Gore, advancing holes with purpose and abandon. Stacy owners accept to achievement the Rams scrapped their brash “RBBC” during the Anniversary 4 bye, afterwards inexplicably giving Cunningham and UDFA Trey Watts carries at their bellcow back’s amount in Anniversary 3 adjoin the Cowboys. That accommodation contributed to Dallas’ come-from-behind win. Stacy’s YPC is up from aftermost year, and he’s averaging 16 touches per game, a cardinal that deserves to rise. He’s a affection RB2 comedy in Anniversary 5.

Score Prediction: Eagles 30, Rams 21

Atlanta @ NY Giants

I discussed this offseason how the Giants’ plan for Eli Manning was agnate to the Chargers’ 2013 access with Philip Rivers. Implement a quick-hitting passing-game clip to get the brawl out of Eli’s hands, authorize rhythm, and let him ascendancy amateur at the band of scrimmage. The revised breach would additionally abbreviate aegis flaws. I didn’t apperceive whether it would work, but it is. Over his aftermost three games, Eli is 75-of-106 casual (70.8%) for 811 yards (7.65 YPA) with an 8:3 TD-to-INT arrangement and a ninth account on a scramble. Now adverse a talent-deficient Falcons aegis that got lit up by Teddy Bridgewater’s quick-hitting Vikings casual d aftermost week, Manning has becoming accepted QB1 treatment. In the three amateur area they accept not faced Josh McCown, the Falcons accept accustomed over 300 casual yards in anniversary and registered aught sacks. … Eli’s Weeks 1-4 ambition distribution: Victor Cruz 32; Larry Donnell 31; Rueben Randle 30; Rashad Jennings 11; Preston Parker 11; Andre Williams and Daniel Fells 6. … Although Atlanta has a accomplished cornerback duo in LCB Desmond Trufant and RCB Robert Alford, a abrupt abridgement of canyon assault keeps DC Mike Nolan’s accumulation accessible to big amateur by adversary receivers. They’ve coughed up notable carbon curve of 5-110 (Marques Colston), 3-84-1 (Mohamed Sanu), 7-77-1 (Brandin Cooks), and 8-132 (Jarius Wright) through one month. Cruz plays the role best agnate to those four wideouts, alive in the boilerplate of the field. Afterwards a alarming alpha to the season, Cruz has 11 catches for 215 yards and a touchdown the accomplished two weeks. He’s reemerged as an every-week WR2.

As the Falcons primarily get flamed by inside-the-numbers receivers, this is a tougher antagonism for Randle, who will move in and out of Trufant and Alford’s coverage. The Giants’ all-embracing advancing pass-game success keeps Randle in the upside WR3 conversation. Randle ranks ninth amid all NFL wideouts in targets (27) over the accomplished three weeks, and 11th in catches (17). He was absolutely inches from two touchdowns in aftermost week’s assault of the Redskins. Apprehend defenses to activate sending added red-zone absorption at Donnell, absolution up Roob for scoring chances. … Donnell is the No. 4 fantasy bound end through the season’s aboriginal month. Alone Jimmy Graham and Martellus Bennett accept added catches, and alone Julius Thomas has added TDs. The Falcons accept accustomed the NFL’s seventh best receptions (21) to bound ends. Donnell’s antagonism is bigger by the Falcons’ blow of SS William Moore (shoulder), one of Atlanta’s few appropriate players on defense. … Assuming Odell Beckham (hamstring) makes his NFL debut, attending for the amateur to be eased in, alternating with third receiver Preston Parker. Beckham has about accomplished with Eli aback May’s draft. Best appellation in ex-Packers abettor Ben McAdoo’s Giants offense, Beckham projects as the Greg Jennings to Cruz’s Randall Cobb, Randle’s Jordy Nelson, and Donnell’s Jermichael Finley. … McAdoo upped amateur Andre Williams’ acceptance aftermost Thursday night as the G-Men played on a abbreviate week. They’re now on a connected week, so apprehend Rashad Jennings to resume full-time work. Atlanta has accustomed a league-high eight hasty TDs to adversary tailbacks, on top of 121 carries for 541 yards (4.47 YPC).

Vegas has installed Falcons-Giants with this week’s accomplished over-under at 50.5 points. As New York’s on-the-come breach will acceptable cascade credibility on Atlanta’s barely-there defense, Matt Ryan abstracts to be afflicted into an advancing response. An every-week fantasy starter, Ryan currently ranks additional in the NFL in both touchdown passes (10) and casual yards (1,263). … Ryan’s Weeks 1-4 ambition distribution: Julio Jones 41; Roddy White 29; Harry Douglas 17; Devin Hester 15; Levine Toilolo 13; Devonta Freeman 9; Jacquizz Rodgers 7; Steven Jackson 6; Antone Smith 5. … Julio has at atomic 80-plus yards and/or a touchdown in nine beeline games. Through four weeks, Jones’ clip stats are 116-1,788-12. It doesn’t absolutely amount that New York has solid cornerbacks in LCB Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie and RCB Prince Amukamara. Jones is the No. 4 all-embracing fantasy wideout. … The Giants accept apparent a alertness to cast bomb DRC and Amukamara depending on opponent, so it’s adamantine to say which bend will bout up with Julio or Roddy. We do apperceive White is advancing off a 14-target d and has hit pay clay in two of his three 2014 appearances. He’s an every-week WR2. … Averaging 17 yards per game, Toilolo is safe to bead beyond the lath for higher-upside TE2 stashes like Austin Seferian-Jenkins and Clay Harbor.

Benefiting from added arena time due to Roddy and Douglas’ Weeks 3-4 inactivity, sub-package receiver Hester has managed accepting curve of 1-2, 1-25, and 5-70-1 the accomplished three weeks. He did account a Anniversary 3 hasty touchdown. Hester should be abandoned in accepted leagues, but has some amount in return-yardage formats. … I abstain receivers ambidextrous with hamstring problems whenever possible. A hamstring abrasion shelved Douglas in aftermost week’s blow to Minnesota. He needs to authenticate on-field bloom to become a applicable advantage again. … Aback the division started, Atlanta has absent LT Sam Baker, C Joe Hawley, and RT Lamar Holmes to year-ending I.R. It charcoal to be apparent how the Falcons’ abhorrent band burning will affect their casual game, but I absolutely apprehend the appulse to be acquainted anon on the ground. With MLB Jon Beason (toe) abiding for the Giants, S-Jax is a low-end and ultimately abominable angle play. In Beason’s two appearances this year, the Giants accept captivated opponents to 200 yards on 58 runs (3.45 YPC). In two amateur afterwards Beason, New York has surrendered 205 yards on 42 carries (4.88 YPC). … Antone Smith is a absolutely fun amateur to watch — his dispatch and run backbone jump off the awning — but he’s arena nine snaps per game. If you alpha Smith, you blow a goose egg. … Quizz Rodgers plays 24 snaps per game, but averages beneath six touches as a moderately able change-of-pace back. He isn’t account rostering. … Nor is fourth-round amateur Freeman, whom the Falcons mysteriously assert on arena at far-more-effective Smith’s expense. Freeman struggles in canyon aegis and is averaging 2.33 YPC on 15 carries.

Friday Update: The Falcons accept disqualified out Douglas (hamstring), acceptation Hester will be their third receiver adjoin the Giants. Atlanta will additionally be afterwards LG Justin Blalock, who has a aback injury. As alluded to above, the Falcons’ abhorrent band is acutely depleted. Arena at home, the Giants’ fantasy aegis is account austere application as a Anniversary 5 streamer.

Score Prediction: Giants 28, Falcons 21

Tampa Bay @ New Orleans

After an awkward Anniversary 4 alley blow to Dallas, the Saints biking aback to the Superdome for a block antagonism with Lovie Smith’s oft-pulverized defense. In Weeks 1-4, Derek Anderson, Austin Davis, Matt Ryan, and Ben Roethlisberger accumulated to complete 96-of-127 passes (75.6%) for 1,065 yards (8.4 YPA) and an 8:0 TD-to-INT arrangement adjoin Tampa Bay. Although he’s been a abiding ambassador and ranks eighth in fantasy quarterback scoring on the year, Drew Brees has not had a argument d yet this season. Here’s action this’ll be it. … Brees’ Weeks 1-4 ambition distribution: Jimmy Graham 42; Brandin Cooks 30; Marques Colston 24; Pierre Thomas 15; Kenny Stills 12; Robert Meachem 9; Travaris Cadet 7; Mark Ingram and Ben Watson 5; Khiry Robinson 4; Joe Morgan 3; Josh Hill 2. … The Brees-Graham FanDuel assemblage is consistently in comedy aback the Saints are at home. It absolutely can’t aching that Tampa Bay has accustomed the third best receptions (27) in football to bound ends. In Smith’s Tampa 2, adversary bound ends are absolutely generally accustomed to run baldheaded over the boilerplate and up the seam. Heath Miller disconnected it for 10-85-1 in Anniversary 4. … Aside from his Anniversary 2 goose egg area Browns drillmaster Mike Pettine’s aegis awash out to stop New Orleans’ wideouts, Colston is averaging eight targets per d with carbon curve of 5-110, 2-25-1, and 5-50. The Cooks accession has rendered Colston added WR3 than WR2, but he’s a acceptable bet for a advantageous d adjoin the Bucs’ adulterated arresting backs.

Stills has the toughest Anniversary 5 antagonism amid Saints accomplishment players. He’ll run best of his canyon patterns adjoin anchored Bucs LCB Alterraun Verner while Cooks and Colston accord with accountability RCB Johnthan Banks and size-, speed-deficient aperture bend Leonard Johnson in accession to linebackers and safeties. … The Vegas prognosticators apprehend New Orleans to douse Tampa Bay in points, allotment this d a aerial 48.5-point over-under but installing the Saints as 10-point favorites. Although Cooks was a bit accidental in the season’s aboriginal month, I’d appetite Brees’ additional best heavily-targeted amateur in my calendar this anniversary … The Bucs accept captivated Rams, Falcons, Panthers, and Steelers tailbacks to a accumulated 399 yards on 112 runs (3.56 YPC). Confirming their run aegis is legit, decidedly with DT Gerald McCoy (hand) back, Tampa bound Le’Veon Bell to 63 scoreless yards on 19 carries (3.32 YPC) in aftermost week’s win. Khiry Robinson’s antagonism is difficult, but he charcoal angle aces as a acceptable bet to hit pay clay in an breach that’s a basic lock to accomplish scoring opportunities. … The Saints’ added acceptance of Travaris Cadet in aftermost week’s blow to the Cowboys was a bit apropos for Thomas’ going-forward outlook. Conceivably it was nothing, or conceivably it was something, but Cadet played 20 downs to Thomas’ 23 and alike out-touched him seven to four. Cadet bent all six of his targets for 59 yards. We’ll reevaluate this bearings afterwards Anniversary 5. Robinson is the abandoned Saints aback in whom I’d advance a fantasy alpha this week.

It’s been awhile aback Doug Martin was a acceptable alive back. He’s become absolutely abortive in canyon protection, and over his aftermost 16 amateur has managed 1,165 yards with six touchdowns on 315 carries (3.70 YPC). That’s a appealing solid sample admeasurement of mediocrity, and his YPC boilerplate dips to 3.37 over his aftermost eight games. Martin has 49 yards on 23 carries (2.13 YPC) this year. Afterwards underwhelming in aftermost week’s win over Pittsburgh, Martin can be advised as no bigger than a low-end RB2 adjoin New Orleans in a d Tampa Bay could abatement abaft in bound and get absolute out. … Leave out Bobby Rainey’s Anniversary 2 d adjoin St. Louis’ sieve-ish run aegis and his 2014 hasty stats angle at 55 yards on 19 runs (2.89 YPC) with three absent fumbles. It wouldn’t absolutely abruptness me if the Bucs’ backfield devolved aback into an RBBC this week, but Rainey artlessly hasn’t becoming angle application so connected as Martin is healthy. … Mike Glennon got the Bucs their aboriginal win adjoin the Steelers, but his achievement was asperous and ultimately average. The absolute takeaways were Glennon’s alertness to bandy the brawl downfield and alfresco the numbers, article Josh McCown resisted the aboriginal three weeks. The antagonism and this game’s about high-scoring bump do accomplish Glennon an adorable two-quarterback-league play. The Saints accept been disconnected by Dallas, Minnesota, Cleveland, and Atlanta quarterbacks for 272.5 casual yards per d and a accumulated 7:0 TD-to-INT ratio. Rob Ryan’s aegis has crumbled.

Glennon’s ambition administration through two 2014 appearances: Vincent Jackson 15; Mike Evans 13; Louis Murphy 11; Austin Seferian-Jenkins and Rainey 7; Brandon Myers 4; Russell Shepard and Luke Stocker 2; Robert Herron 1. … Seferian-Jenkins is my admired Anniversary 5 bound end streamer. Aback from an early-season basal injury, “ASJ” played 71-of-71 snaps adjoin the Steelers, calm seven targets, and now should account from an added passing-game role with Evans (groin) alone 2-3 weeks. A appropriate amateur at 6-foot-5 1/2, 265 with a arise 4.56 forty time and 37 1/2-inch vertical, Seferian-Jenkins denticulate 21 touchdowns in three academy seasons, hitting pay clay in all but four of his final 15 academy games. In a antagonism area d breeze should assignment to the advantage of Tampa Bay’s casual game, ASJ should be a common red-zone ambition for Glennon. … V-Jax saw 10 targets in Glennon’s aboriginal alpha and bent a game-winning touchdown with seven abnormal left. Apprehend Saints top CB Keenan Lewis to be captivated to Jackson throughout this game, but he’s a high-end WR3 advantage with WR1 upside. … Resist block aftermost week’s credibility with Murphy, who accomplished Anniversary 4 with 99 yards on six catches bristles canicule afterwards actuality alive off the street. Murphy does amount to alpha in abode of Evans, but is on his fourth NFL aggregation in six seasons. At best, he’ll be the Buccaneers’ No. 3 abhorrent advantage abaft the alive backs and Jackson. He adeptness be fourth abaft ASJ, or alike fifth if accurate No. 2 bound end Myers gets added usage.

Score Prediction: Saints 34, Buccaneers 23

Houston @ Dallas

The Texans and Cowboys accept agnate run-heavy formulas and neither aggregation can stop the run. This d sets up as low scoring in my opinion, so I was a little afraid to see Vegas accredit it a 46.5-point over-under. I like the under. … I additionally absolutely like DeMarco Murray. On the Fantasy Insiders appearance I do every Friday afternoon, @DavisMattek appropriate aftermost anniversary that Murray should be the starting point in every circadian alliance lineup. Be it clash or banknote games, I anticipate you about accept to activate that way. Houston has coughed up 474 yards and three touchdowns on 94 runs (5.04 YPC) to adversary tailbacks. … Although Lance Dunbar would be a agency — decidedly in PPR leagues — it seems appealing bright that Joseph Randle is Murray’s primary handcuff. With Dallas’ amateur on clip for an cool 396 carries with a alarming abrasion history, Randle should be buried wherever possible. Randle is far from a arch talent, but he looks decidedly bigger from his amateur year and would run abaft one of the NFL’s top abhorrent curve if Murray went down. … Terrance Williams is a archetypal sell-high afterward his two-score d in aftermost week’s win over New Orleans. Aloof about averaging bristles targets and 45 yards per game, Williams is a low-volume role amateur briefly alive on an unsustainable scoring rate. Bail while his banal is peaking.

Tony Romo had a acceptable Anniversary 4 d adjoin a bad Saints defense. Although he is physically improving, annihilation about the way Romo is actuality activated suggests he’s aback a accepted fantasy QB1. 19th in the NFL in canyon attempts, Romo’s role in Dallas’ breach has been scaled aback with Murray demography on added responsibilities. This isn’t a decidedly acceptable antagonism for Romo, demography on a Texans aegis with a 5:4 TD-to-INT arrangement against, J.J. Watt up front, and accepting solid cornerback comedy from LCB Johnathan Joseph and RCB/slot bend Kareem Jackson. Romo charcoal a low-end QB1 and, ideally, matchup-based streamer. … Romo’s Weeks 1-4 ambition distribution: Dez Bryant 33; Jason Witten 23; Williams 21; Murray 11; Cole Beasley 10; Dunbar 7; Gavin Escobar and Devin Artery 4. … 32-year-old Witten has angry in scoreless carbon curve of 2-14, 4-32, 4-49 and 5-61 through four weeks. Although the faculty may be that Witten’s box array are trending in the appropriate direction, he’s additionally taken on added blocking assignments in Dallas’ new run-based offense. Per PFF, Witten has blocked on 57% of his 2014 snaps. He blocked on aloof 43% of his snaps aftermost season. The Texans are 23rd in fantasy credibility accustomed to bound ends. … Dez’s targets are bottomward a bit due to the Cowboys’ revised abhorrent approach, but he’s still on clip for 92 catches, 1,164 yards, and 12 touchdowns. As Williams’ red-zone acceptance begins to accordingly regress, attending for Bryant’s to improve. He’s a top-shelf WR1 every week.

The Texans’ backfield has become a week-to-week fantasy nightmare. Arian Foster (hamstring) is already acid up game-time decisions. He was alive in Anniversary 4, but activated as a timeshare back. While Foster played a season-low 39 downs, amateur Alfred Blue handled 33. This week’s antagonism is block — the Cowboys accept served up 405 yards on 73 accumulated carries (5.55 YPC) to adversary tailbacks this division — but there is aing to no accuracy on bloom and roles in Houston’s alive game. You’re absolutely on your own aggravating to alpha either of these guys in fantasy. … The Cowboys accept been able to affectation and atone for their talent-less aegis by arena keepaway with Murray, but they aren’t a awkward antagonism for opposing casual attacks by any means. In Weeks 1-4, Colin Kaepernick, Austin Davis, Jake Locker, and Drew Brees accumulated to complete 96-of-143 passes (67.1%) adjoin Dallas for 1,102 yards (7.71 YPA) and an 8:5 TD-to-INT ratio. Again, that’s with Locker’s awful Anniversary 2 d included. Ryan Fitzpatrick should be in two-quarterback-league lineups, and I’m not adjoin to at atomic because him as agony QB1 streamer. He won’t get abounding bigger matchups all year.

FitzMagic’s Weeks 1-4 ambition distribution: Andre Johnson 34; DeAndre Hopkins 25; Foster 15; Garrett Graham 12; Damaris Johnson 9; Blue 4. … Although he’s yet to hit pay dirt, Johnson is on clip for 88 receptions and 1,048 yards through one month. Johnson is a acceptable bet to account his aboriginal touchdown adjoin a Cowboys aegis banishment accepted aperture CB Orlando Scandrick to comedy appropriate cornerback on abject downs and inserting artisan Sterling Moore at RCB in sub-packages. Johnson runs best of his routes at appropriate corners. … Hopkins has been far added able than Johnson admitting bound targeting, which could advance to added acceptance activity forward. With at atomic a touchdown and/or 100 accepting yards in every d to accessible this season, Hopkins is a fantasy WR2 until accurate otherwise. Accumulate in apperception Hopkins is aloof about 22 years old, added than a year adolescent than Kelvin Benjamin. His arrow is agreeable upward. … If Graham is anytime activity to accept a advantageous fantasy box score, this is the week. Unable to awning anyone at linebacker and safety, Dallas has accustomed alliance highs in catches (37), touchdowns (6), and accepting yards (395) to bound ends. Graham’s upside is consistently afflicted abnormally by his bound athleticism, but he’s account a attending for TE1 streamers based on antagonism and opportunity.

Score Prediction: Cowboys 24, Texans 20

Buffalo @ Detroit

Perhaps Kyle Orton gives Buffalo a bigger adventitious to bear passes accurately to receivers, but his admittance over E.J. Manuel won’t change the Bills’ abhorrent formula. The alignment artlessly believes Orton is added able of demography affliction of the football. 32 years old in November, Orton is now on his fifth NFL team. He’s completed 58.5% of his career throws — worse, in fact, than Manuel’s 58.6% — with an 83:59 TD-to-INT ratio. He’s account avaricious in two-quarterback leagues, but shouldn’t be started adjoin Detroit’s No. 2 canyon defense. Through four games, amateur DC Teryl Austin’s Lions accept aside Aaron Rodgers, Cam Newton, Eli Manning, and Geno Smith to a accumulated 72-of-127 casual (56.7%) for 815 yards (6.42 YPA), four touchdowns and three picks with eight sacks taken. Detroit’s fantasy aegis is a recommended play. … Manuel didn’t help, but Sammy Watkins deserves affluence of accusation for his inconsistent to-date production. Inefficient and capricious in fantasy, Watkins has alone three passes en avenue to account carbon curve of 3-31-0, 8-117-1, 2-19-0, and 4-30-1. Watkins does rank 17th amid wideouts in fantasy credibility the accomplished three weeks. He’s a advantageous if airy WR3 comedy in this difficult matchup. … Third receiver Mike Williams ripped off an 80-yard touchdown t in aftermost Sunday’s blow to Houston, but is averaging four targets per d and arena alone 55% of Buffalo’s abhorrent snaps. Abstain block aftermost week’s points.

It still wouldn’t abruptness me if, eventually, Williams begins acid into “starter” Robert Woods’ arena time. Apparently a sure-handed ascendancy target, Woods has an bloodless 43% t amount with two drops, managing 119 scoreless yards amid 29 targets. There is little agnosticism Williams offers added playmaking and touchdown-scoring ability. Woods has 41 yards on 23 targets over his aftermost three games. Some of that is on Manuel, but the about-face amount is abundantly poor. … Bold breeze should assignment in Fred Jackson’s favor this week, as the Lions assume acceptable to accept abhorrent success while arresting the Bills’ breach stoutly. We’ve already accustomed that Jackson plays added than C.J. Spiller aback Buffalo is abaft in games. Minus lynchpin MLB Stephen Tulloch (ACL), Detroit’s advanced stout run aegis sprung leaks in aftermost week’s win over the Jets, confined up 128 yards and a touchdown on 23 carries (5.57 YPC) to Chris Ivory and Chris Johnson. CJ?K bankrupt a ten-game aridity of connected touchdown runs, breaking a 35-yard account in the fourth quarter. … Although I apprehend Jackson to advance the Bills’ backfield in Anniversary 5 snaps, Spiller charcoal a account lock for 13-18 touches and Johnson’s connected TD could be construed as a absolute assurance for Buffalo’s homerun hitter. Spiller is a high-upside RB2 adjoin the Lions. His season-long angle is a bit added concerning. Per PFF’s @Pat_Thorman, Spiller has aloof 22 ambit runs compared to 30 amid the tackles. He’s averaging 5.2 YPC alfresco and 3.1 YPC inside. The Bills accept connected to advance to aerate their best activating weapon.

Buffalo’s 25th-ranked canyon aegis is added accessible than its top-three run defense. Theoretically, at least, this d sets up able-bodied for Matthew Stafford to blaze off canyon attempts and arbor up yards, decidedly with top central agent Joique Bell (concussion) not accepted to play. The Bills affectation a added difficult antagonism than that pass-defense baronial suggests — they’re sixth in the NFL in sacks with a 6:5 TD-to-INT arrangement adjoin — but arduous aggregate should be on Stafford’s side. Alive added than anytime beneath new OC Joe Lombardi, Stafford is agilely on clip for a career aerial in scrambles (68) and currently ranks fifth amid quarterbacks in fantasy scoring. Rare is the anniversary Stafford isn’t at atomic a mid-range QB1. … Stafford’s Weeks 1-4 ambition distribution: Calvin Johnson 37; Golden Tate 31; Reggie Bush 23; Bell 15; Eric Ebron 12; Jeremy Ross 8; Joseph Fauria 6; Brandon Pettigrew 4. … Megatron’s Anniversary 4 allurement acceptance was arresting as he played through an abate injury. Accumulate in apperception Johnson was analogously acclimated as a allurement in Anniversary 6 of aftermost season, aggressive a knee injury. He rebounded in Anniversary 7 for a 9-155-2 carbon band adjoin the Bengals. You can never leave his week-winning beam on your bench. … The healthiest affiliate of Detroit’s wideout corps, Tate is on clip for 96 receptions and 1,268 yards through his aboriginal four amateur as a Lion. He’s a WR2 in PPR leagues and a able WR3 in accepted scoring. Alike aback Calvin is 100%, Tate is Stafford’s No. 2 option. That’s a nice role to have.

Friday Update: Lions drillmaster Jim Caldwell openly accepted afterward Friday’s convenance that Calvin Johnson might charge a anniversary off for his abate to heal. Megatron accomplished on a bound basis, but the Lions evidently weren’t encouraged by the advance he’s made. Stafford would get a decline afterwards his best ascendant receiver, while aftermost week’s d suggests Tate would arise to the No. 1 advantage in OC Joe Lombardi’s casual attack. Ebron would become No. 2, in theory, and it wouldn’t suprise me if Reggie Bush wound up with 7-10 targets adjoin Buffalo if Johnson did not play.

With Fauria (ankle) still on the mend, first-round aces Ebron will get at atomic one added anniversary as Detroit’s primary pass-catching bound end. Ebron played a season-high 34 snaps in the role aftermost week, converting four targets into a 3-34-1 carbon line. It would not abruptness me at all if Ebron played about 40 snaps this anniversary and his ambition absolute jumped to six or seven. He’s about the Lions’ No. 3 receiver. Buffalo has accustomed the fourth best catches in the alliance to bound ends (24) and the 13th best yards (213). Ebron charcoal an upside TE1 streamer. … Arena abeyance run aegis beneath new DC Jim Schwartz, the Bills accept bound adversary alive backs to 255 yards on 87 carries (2.93 YPC). Buffalo hasn’t accustomed a distinct hasty TD on the season. The on-the-ground antagonism is alarming for Bush, but he’ll accept the Lions’ backfield all to himself with Bell (concussion) and Theo Rid (hamstring) not accepted to play. Alike in boxy matchups, Bush is cool to sit aback he’s positioned to handle 16-22 touches. And that’s the case this week. Aback on the Ford Acreage turf, I can’t brainstorm benching him.

Friday Update: Upgrading Bush’s Anniversary 5 antagonism is the accepted absence of difference-making Bills DT Kyle Williams, who absent convenance all anniversary with a knee injury. Williams is Pro Football Focus’ top-graded arresting accouterment through four weeks, advanced of added acclaimed DTs like Ndamukong Suh, Gerald McCoy, and Dontari Poe.

Score Prediction: Lions 23, Bills 14

Baltimore @ Indianapolis

The Ravens survived the blow of LT Eugene Monroe (knee scope) in aftermost week’s beating of Carolina as UDFA James Hurst stepped up for a admirable day in canyon protection. The Colts’ canyon assault is decidedly beneath appalling than the Panthers’, so argumentation suggests this could be accession advantageous day at the appointment for Joe Flacco & Co. … The assured focal point of new OC Gary Kubiak’s casual attack, Steve Smith Sr. has angry in carbon curve of 7-118-1, 6-71, 5-101, and 7-139-2 through four weeks, averaging over ten targets per game. Kubiak moves Smith Sr. about frequently abundant that he won’t absorb all of Anniversary 5 in stout Colts RCB Vontae Davis’ coverage. On clip for 100 receptions, Smith has becoming every-week WR2 treatment. He’s produced like a accepted WR1 to this point. Flacco acutely trusts Smith Sr. to accomplish plays with the brawl in the air. … Flacco’s ambition administration through three games: Smith Sr. 41; Torrey Smith 21; Justin Forsett 19; Owen Daniels 17; Jacoby Jones 10; Kyle Juszczyk 6; Kamar Aiken and Marlon Brown 5. … In Anniversary 4, Brown and Daniels about aggregate the role alone by Dennis Pitta (hip, I.R.), with both carrying analytical chain-moving receptions over the middle. Although Indianapolis has accustomed the fourth best fantasy credibility to bound ends, I anticipate there are bigger TE1 streamers out there than Daniels. Daniels is arena 83% of the Ravens’ abhorrent snaps, but he’s about a catch-and-fall guy at this date of his career. He will acceptable pay off as a Anniversary 5 fantasy alpha if and alone if he array a red-zone TD.

Torrey aerated Carolina’s accessory abysmal up the bond for 29 yards aftermost anniversary and bent a 24-yard TD bullet, but continues to run low-percentage routes and is actuality activated as a situational abysmal blackmail while Steve Sr. is fed the rock. Torrey plays on both carelessness of the formation, so he’ll accord with Davis in accession to Colts accountability LCB Greg Toler. It’s not a abhorrent matchup, but Torrey has acclimatized in as a boom-or-bust WR3. He’s on clip for career lows in every statistical category. … Ravens-Colts has a 48.5-point over-under, angry for additional accomplished of Anniversary 5. Flacco still isn’t a astute QB1, but he’s a affection two-quarterback-league start. … Forsett surged advanced in Baltimore’s backfield aftermost week, establishing a hot duke early. Kubiak rode the 29-year-old artisan to a season-high 17 touches. With at atomic a dozen touches in every d so far this season, Forsett has the best abiding role amid Ravens backs. He’s a applicable angle comedy in non-PPR leagues adjoin the Colts, and a ambiguous RB2 in PPR. … Afterwards alive with purpose and adeptness in the Ravens’ Anniversary 3 win over the Browns, Taliaferro took a footfall aback adjoin the Panthers. His final stats attending admirable (15-58-1), but “Zo” ran with averseness and abundant of his accident was done in debris time. It was a black accomplishment for d watchers. He’s an RBBC aback until added apprehension and a all-a-quiver angle comedy adjoin the Colts’ No. 11 run defense. Baltimore’s hasty advance does account from Indy’s blow of SS LaRon Landry (suspension). The Colts are acceptance 4.36 yards per backpack with four hasty TDs acceptable through four games. … Admitting actuality active, Pierce didn’t comedy a bottomward adjoin Carolina. He’s aloof an RB5 backing in 12- and 14-team leagues.

After teeing off on the Eagles, Jaguars, and Titans the accomplished three weeks, No. 1 all-embracing fantasy quarterback Andrew Luck gets his toughest to-date antagonism adjoin a Ravens aegis that has bound adversary passers to aloof three touchdown passes through four games. Baltimore’s ambiguous pass-defense stats advance it is accessible in the air, however, confined up eight yards per canyon advance with alone one interception and four sacks through one month. I’d apparently cramp at starting Luck on FanDuel, but he’s a top-flight QB1 every anniversary in re-draft leagues. … Additionally alive in Luck’s favor is the Colts’ acceptable disability to run the football finer on the Ravens. Keyed by DROY applicant ILB C.J. Mosley, Baltimore has bound adversary tailbacks to 285 yards on 79 carries (3.61 YPC). Indianapolis will be afterwards arresting amateur LG Jack Mewhort (ankle). Conceivably there never is one, but this is a decidedly bad anniversary to bet on Trent Richardson. … The way the Colts advance Ahmad Bradshaw makes him beneath accessible to stout arresting advanced sevens. He plays abundantly in the casual d and gets sprung into amplitude on alive back-friendly comedy calls. OC Pep Hamilton is smartly captivated on not overworking Bradshaw — captivated him to 12 touches per d — but he’ll be Indy’s best agency of affective the chains out of the backfield in this matchup. Fantasy’s No. 4 all-embracing alive aback scorer, Bradshaw is an every-week starter.

Luck’s Weeks 1-4 ambition distribution: T.Y. Hilton 37; Reggie Wayne 33; Coby Fleener 19; Hakeem Nicks 18; Bradshaw 16; Dwayne Allen 15; T-Rich 14; Donte Moncrief 9; Jack Doyle 6. … Wayne disconnected the Titans for 7-119-1 aftermost anniversary on eight targets, but I don’t absolutely see that as a assurance of things to come. Turning 36 in November, Wayne is no best a big-play blackmail and requires aggregate to assemblage yards. The TD was Wayne’s aboriginal of the season, and aloof his additional aback aftermost September. Wayne is a high-end WR3 adjoin baby Ravens aperture CB Asa Jackson (5’10/191), but advancing off a d like aftermost week’s creates a acceptable befalling to advertise Wayne high. … Although he is consistently a blackmail to bake defenders deep, Hilton has a tougher antagonism adjoin stout Ravens alfresco CBs Jimmy Smith and Lardarius Webb. Still, Hilton’s big-play abeyant and constant targeting makes him an every-week accoutrement in fantasy lineups. He’s apparent double-digit targets in 3-of-4 amateur and is on clip for 88 receptions and 1,164 yards. … Baltimore has accustomed the atomic fantasy credibility in the alliance to bound ends, which doesn’t augur able-bodied for agilely targeted Allen or inefficient Fleener. Fleener is on clip for a 40-436-8 carbon line. Allen’s clip is 44-580-12. Both are alluringly TE2s. If afflicted to accept amid the two, I’ll abide to bet on aloft football amateur Allen. … Alone arena 60.6% of the Colts’ abhorrent snaps and averaging an bloodless 7.8 yards per reception, Nicks is safe to bead in 14-team leagues.

Score Prediction: Colts 24, Ravens 21

Pittsburgh @ Jacksonville

Ben Roethlisberger enters Anniversary 5 on fire, accepting completed 72.9% of his throws the accomplished two weeks with a 5:0 TD-to-INT arrangement and 117 QB rating. Although Steelers OC Todd Haley is frequently a media whipping boy — apparently because he doesn’t kiss ass — his breach is aerial allotment and abundantly quarterback friendly. It can’t aching that Pittsburgh’s abhorrent band has becoming a top-nine accumulated pass-blocking brand from PFF. Speaking of quarterback friendly, Big Ben’s antagonism is as favorable as it gets. Andrew Luck, Nick Foles, Kirk Cousins, Robert Griffin III, and Philip Rivers accumulated to wax the Jags for 1,552 advantageous yards and 11 TDs in the aboriginal four games. That’s an cool boilerplate of 388 absolute yards and 2.75 touchdowns per game. Jacksonville has a league-worst 11:1 TD-to-INT arrangement against. Roethlisberger is a base top-shelf QB1 play. … Big Ben’s ambition administration in Weeks 1-4: Antonio Brown 39; Heath Miller 27; Markus Wheaton 26; Le’Veon Bell 23; Justin Brown 14; LeGarrette Blount and Dri Archer 2. … Brown is the absolute blazon of receiver to atom the Jaguars’ Awning 3 beneath and over the middle, array of like how Keenan Allen (10-135) did aftermost week. Brown entered Anniversary 5 as the No. 1 wideout in all of fantasy — about ten credibility advanced of runner-up Jordy Nelson. … Agilely seventh amid bound ends in targets, fifth in catches (21), and tenth in yards (197), Miller is a locked-in TE1 adjoin a Jaguars aegis coughing up the additional best receptions (28) and yards (323), and fourth best touchdowns (4) to bound ends.

The No. 4 advantage in Pittsburgh’s breach abaft Brown, Miller, and Bell, Wheaton has managed carbon curve of 5-38, 4-35, and 4-57 the accomplished three weeks. He hasn’t denticulate a touchdown on the year. If 4.4-flat speedster Wheaton is anytime activity to bear a argument game, this should be the week. The Jaguars accept accustomed a league-high 24 canyon plays of 20-plus yards. … “Dammit” Donald Brown was a fantasy apprehension in aftermost week’s affair with the Jaguars, but apprehend altered after-effects for No. 2 all-embracing fantasy aback Le’Veon Bell, who ranks additional in the NFL in hasty yards (378), additional amid all alive backs in receptions (19), and third in accepting yards (192). Alike in bottomward hasty weeks, Bell will ablaze up opponents in the casual game. Admitting Brown’s Anniversary 4 clunker, the Jaguars still accept the NFL’s 25th-ranked run aegis and are acceptance one hasty touchdown per game. Alone DeMarco Murray (vs. HOU) is a bigger Anniversary 5 fantasy alive aback comedy than Le’Veon. … Aloof a blow aback abaft Bell, Blount would charge adventitious garbage-time runs to pay off as a Anniversary 5 angle option. Blount’s Weeks 1-4 breeze ante were 8%, 13%, 26%, and 15%. He has four or beneath carries in three of Pittsburgh’s aboriginal four games.

The Jaguars denticulate 27 credibility in ten abode of Chad Henne. They’ve denticulate 31 credibility in six abode of Blake Bortles. Although I accepted added from Bortles as an boilerplate and abysmal thrower in his aboriginal NFL start, the amateur seemed a bit bedridden by OC Jedd Fisch’s bourgeois playcalling, which abundantly consisted of canyon plays about the band of scrimmage. Apprehend the playbook to alleviate up in a home d adjoin Pittsburgh’s canyon rush- and coverage-bereft defense. Over their aftermost three games, the Steelers accept accustomed Bucs, Panthers, and Ravens quarterbacks to complete 71-of-112 passes (63.4%) for 798 yards (7.13 YPA) and a 6:1 TD-to-INT arrangement while arresting alone four sacks. It’s a additional antagonism for Bortles, whose athleticism should account problems for Ryan Shazier-less Pittsburgh. I like Bortles as a QB1 streamer. … Toby Gerhart ripped off a ten-yard backpack on the aboriginal comedy from flat in aftermost week’s blow to San Diego, but absent a lix at the end of the run and was bargain to timeshare duties the blow of the way. Until Gerhart separates himself from Denard Robinson, apprehend the two to anatomy a near-even RBBC. Gerhart is the aloft central runner, while Robinson apparently offers a big-play threat. Both are angle options adjoin Pittsburgh, with Gerhart as the bigger fantasy action as the admired for goal-line carries. The acceptable account is both accept favorable matchups. The Steelers accept coughed up 402 yards and three touchdowns on 83 carries (4.84 YPC) to adversary tailbacks.

Bortles’ Weeks 3-4 ambition distribution: Allen Robinson 15; Cecil Shorts 12; Allen Hurns and Clay Harbor 8; Denard Robinson 4; Jordan Todman and Mike Brown 3; Gerhart 2. … With Shorts (hamstring) aback on the shelf, Robinson, Hurns, and Harbor should be ambition monsters adjoin the Steelers. With Marqise Lee (hamstring) additionally out, Brown or conceivably aperture man Ace Sanders, whose four-game abeyance is up, will be the Jaguars’ third receiver. … Arena in his aboriginal d of the season, Harbor was a huge allotment of Fisch’s Anniversary 4 d plan, accepting a team-high eight targets for 69 yards. Pittsburgh allows the sixth-most fantasy credibility to bound ends. I adopt Austin Seferian-Jenkins to Harbor this week, personally, but the closing is absolutely in the Anniversary 5 banderole mix. … It’s adamantine to adhere fantasy hats on wide-open abysmal bombs due to bankrupt coverage, but Hurns bent accession one aftermost anniversary in San Diego for a 44-yard gain. The undrafted amateur is best ill-fitted as a situational abysmal threat, but is account a attending for WR3 desperados. He’ll comedy about every breeze adjoin Pittsburgh, alive ambit canyon routes adjoin disturbing LCB Cortez Allen and accepted aperture bend William Gay, who’s replacing RCB Ike Taylor (broken forearm). It’s a acceptable antagonism on paper. … Bortles ambition baton Robinson is the best fantasy bet in the Jaguars’ wideout corps, admitting a apathetic Anniversary 4 d (5-38-0) area his receptions consisted of balloon screens, drags, and a accidental fourth-quarter deflection. I’m still cat-and-mouse for Robinson to accomplish a big comedy downfield in a non-garbage-time setting, however. He’s a boom-or-bust WR3.

Score Prediction: Steelers 27, Jaguars 23

4:05PM ET Game

Arizona @ Denver

The Broncos acknowledgment from their Anniversary 4 bye to face a pass-rush-deficient Cardinals aegis that to this point has played aloft its arch acknowledgment in ample allotment to DC Todd Bowles’ artistic blitzes. Arizona ranks 28th in PFF’s accumulated pass-rush metrics and has one sack in three games. No quarterback in football is bigger at diagnosing blitzes pre-snap than Peyton Manning, who had a abounding accessible date to abstraction Bowles’ scheme. I apprehend some fireworks from Denver’s casual advance this week. … Manning’s Weeks 1-3 ambition distribution: Emmanuel Sanders 33; Demaryius Thomas 27; Julius Thomas 17; Wes Welker 9; Montee Brawl 8; Andre Caldwell 6; Jacob Tamme 4. … Welker’s acknowledgment from abeyance in Denver’s aftermost d had no abrogating aftereffect on Sanders, and may accept absolutely helped. Arena 96% of the Broncos’ abhorrent snaps, Sanders set division highs in targets (15), catches (11), and yards (149). As Cardinals alfresco CBs Patrick Peterson and Antonio Cromartie are big but not decidedly quick in abbreviate areas, Sanders arguably poses their best alarming conflict in Denver’s pass-catching corps. … Apprehend Peyton to accomplish it a post-bye point to get Demaryius going. On clip for three-year lows in catches, yards, and touchdowns, Demaryius is an ideal buy-low applicant afterward a apathetic alpha area he artlessly didn’t comedy acceptable football, constant brainy lapses and bottomward three balls. Alike if Demaryius has accession about quiet d adjoin Arizona’s plus-sized corners, he will abide a recommended buy-low entering Anniversary 5.

The league’s leakiest aegis to bound ends a year ago, Arizona served up a accumulated 8-105 Opening Day carbon band to Antonio Gates and Ladarius Green, afore Larry Donnell and Daniel Fells alone an 8-82-1 cardinal on them in Anniversary 2. They abhorred Vernon Davis (ankle) in Anniversary 3, but affectation a additional antagonism for Orange Julius, who’s already denticulate bristles touchdowns through three games. Aback demography over as Denver’s starting bound end in Anniversary 1 aftermost year, Julius has hit pay clay in 76.5% of his approved division amateur (13 of 17). … Welker went 6-60 on nine targets in his ’14 admission two weeks ago adjoin Seattle. He played 63% of the snaps. Until we see added affirmation of Welker’s acceptance with Sanders in Denver, I’m examination the 33-year-old aperture receiver as a solid WR3 in PPR and ambiguous WR3 in accepted leagues. … In Weeks 1-3, Arizona’s top-four run aegis captivated Giants, Chargers, and 49ers tailbacks to 142 yards on 55 runs (2.58 YPC). The Cardinals accept accustomed up two red-zone hasty touchdowns, which is area Brawl owners can adhere their hat. He’s a poor bet to top 60 yards on the ground. … Denver’s advancement alive aback job charcoal fluid. C.J. Anderson captivated the role in Weeks 1-2, but played alone three snaps in the Broncos’ Anniversary 3 blow to Seattle. Ronnie Hillman played 14 downs, but was blimp for assets of aught and two yards on his two carries. If afflicted to accept a adhere for Ball, my aces would be aloft central agent Anderson. But it would apparently be a circling if Brawl got hurt.

Through two amateur as Arizona’s advancement starter, Drew Stanton has completed 32-of-62 passes (51.6%) for 411 yards (6.63 YPA), and a 2:0 TD-to-INT ratio. As Peyton seems acceptable to dump credibility on Arizona’s to-date overachieving defense, I apprehend Stanton to blaze off a lot of canyon attempts in this game. Two-quarterback-league owners may see that as an befalling for box-score production. I adopt to alpha the Broncos’ fantasy defense, which is beginning off a bye and accessible to hit its stride with back-to-back additional matchups. Denver plays the Jets next. … Admitting the astringent quarterback decline from Carson Palmer (shoulder) to Stanton, Cardinals drillmaster Bruce Arians hasn’t chock-full aggravating to advance the brawl vertically. In Anniversary 3 — afore Arizona’s bye — PFF charted Stanton with 13 attempts of 20-plus yards downfield, four added than any quarterback in the alliance in a anniversary area every NFL aggregation played. In two starts, Stanton has befuddled 19 passes of 20-plus yards. For comparison, Eli Manning has befuddled 14 passes of 20-plus yards in four games. … The point of all that is to appearance that Michael Floyd will still accept opportunities to accomplish plays with the brawl in the air with Stanton at quarterback, alike if the all-embracing adeptness of Arizona’s casual advance has taken a nosedive. Floyd’s Anniversary 5 angle is added awkward from a antagonism standpoint, however. Aqib Talib patrols the ambit in Denver’s defense, which is area Floyd runs his routes. And Broncos RCB Chris Harris has been alike bigger than Talib this season. I’m starting Floyd in two leagues this anniversary and acquisitive for a big comedy and/or a touchdown. I’m captivation my breath.

Stanton’s Weeks 2-3 ambition distribution: Larry Fitzgerald 17; Floyd 15; John Brown 10; Andre Ellington 7; John Carlson 6; Ted Ginn 3; Troy Niklas and Robert Hughes 1. … Fitzgerald’s carbon curve in Stanton’s two starts are 6-51-0 and 3-34-0. Fitz is aloof a WR3 advantage until we see his assembly aces up, but he at atomic has a bigger Anniversary 5 antagonism than Floyd. Fitzgerald runs common aperture routes, area the Broncos use alive amateur Bradley Roby. It’s believable that Arians will punch up a lot of plays to accurately analysis that matchup. … Brown’s carbon curve in Stanton’s two starts are 3-28-0 and 4-52-2. The third-round amateur is averaging bristles targets per game. Brown has 4.34 acceleration and austere big-play potential, but I don’t see him as accidentally accurate as the Stanton-quarterbacked Cardinals’ No. 4 abhorrent advantage abaft Fitz, Floyd, and Ellington. … Best of Ellington’s fantasy amount is acquired from his accepting ability, but his hasty antagonism is still account exploring. Through three games, Denver’s aegis has bound adversary tailbacks to 215 yards on 63 carries (3.41 YPC). Ellington is an every-week RB2 in PPR leagues, but added of a high-end angle comedy in accepted settings. He’ll abide that way until he starts assuming some adeptness to account touchdowns, article the Cardinals’ apprenticeship agents has prevented Ellington from accomplishing by consistently removing him in goal-to-go situations. With Jalen Parmele and Jonathan Dwyer gone from Arizona, my assumption is Stepfan Taylor will now ample the short-yardage-back role.

Score Prediction: Broncos 31, Cardinals 17

4:25PM ET Games

Kansas City @ San Francisco

The Chiefs biking to San Francisco arena on a abbreviate anniversary and advancing off an affecting Monday night win over New England. It’s a acceptable befalling for the 49ers to saddle up their run game. Although d breeze prevented the Patriots from cobbling calm any affinity of a hasty advance adjoin them aftermost week, the Chiefs abide accessible on the ground, accepting acceptable opposing alive backs to account 422 yards on 79 carries (5.34 YPC) aback accident ILB Derrick Johnson to a broken Achilles’ bond in Anniversary 1. This is a absolutely acceptable antagonism for No. 13 all-embracing fantasy alive aback Frank Gore, who is advancing off his best d of the season. … It wouldn’t abruptness me if Carlos Hyde got a few added carries than accepted adjoin the Chiefs, but through four weeks he’s averaging beneath seven touches and 20 snaps per game. Gore is averaging 46.3 snaps and 15.5 touches. Gore is a high-end RB2 in this additional matchup. Hyde has acclimatized in as a touchdown-dependent and ultimately abominable angle play. … Afore Tom Brady’s full-on abortion in Anniversary 4, Kansas City’s aegis acceptable a 6:0 TD-to-INT arrangement accumulated to Jake Locker, Ryan Tannehill, and Peyton Manning in the season’s aboriginal three weeks. The Chiefs can accompany burden with their accomplished alfresco linebackers and NT Dontari Poe, but are accessible throughout the secondary. Colin Kaepernick’s aberration renders him a fantasy roller coaster, but this is an above-average matchup. Kaepernick is currently fantasy’s No. 9 quarterback.

Kap’s Weeks 1-4 ambition distribution: Michael Crabtree 32; Anquan Boldin 28; Stevie Johnson 17; Brandon Lloyd 10; Vernon Davis 9; Derek Carrier 8; Hyde 5; Gore 4; Vance McDonald 2. … The Chiefs accept coughed up four touchdowns to bound ends through four amateur and will afresh be afterwards SS Eric Berry (high abate sprain). Unfortunately, San Francisco’s bound end bearings lacks clarity. Davis (back) is missing practice. McDonald (knee) has resumed practicing on a bound basis. With both Davis and McDonald out in Anniversary 3, Carrier managed 1-23 on two targets. … Crabtree is an every-week WR2/3, but has the toughest on-paper antagonism in San Francisco’s pass-catching corps. He runs best of his routes at appropriate cornerbacks, area Chiefs RCB Sean Smith has been a top-five awning bend in Pro Football Focus’ grades. … Although he hasn’t denticulate a touchdown yet, Boldin is on clip for 84 receptions and 924 yards. He’s a low-ceiling WR3 in PPR and a high-end WR4 in accepted leagues. Boldin does accept a added production-friendly antagonism than Crabtree, accomplishing action with disturbing aperture CB Chris Owens and LCB Marcus Cooper. … The 49ers accept leaned on Johnson added aback Davis has absent time. With alone two teams on bye, here’s academic you can acquisition a bigger Anniversary 5 option.

On a two-game cycle afterwards a acutely apathetic start, Alex Smith alive aback to the abode area his late-blooming career began. Over the accomplished two weeks, Smith has diced up the Dolphins and Patriots — two appalling canyon defenses — for 39-of-51 casual (76.5%), 434 yards (8.51 YPA), six touchdowns, and no interceptions. Smith is in the mix as a Anniversary 5 banderole and should be beheld as a high-end two-quarterback-league play. Nick Foles played ailing adjoin the 49ers aftermost week, but their canyon aegis is unimposing. They’ve accustomed seven casual TDs through four amateur and alone accept bristles sacks as a team. They’re a bottom-nine aegis in PFF’s accumulated pass-rush grades. The Niners will additionally be afterwards top CB Tramaine Brock (toe) for at atomic one added week. … Smith’s ambition administration through four games: Travis Kelce and Donnie Avery 24; Dwayne Bowe 17; Anthony Fasano and Knile Davis 13; Junior Hemingway 9; Jamaal Charles 8; A.J. Jenkins 4. … Kansas City’s ambition baton over the accomplished three weeks, Kelce’s breeze ante accept developed from 35% in Kansas City’s aboriginal two amateur to 59% over the accomplished two. Admitting baronial 40th amid NFL bound ends in snaps played, Kelce currently ranks seventh in fantasy scoring at his position. I’m crumbling Kelce on FanDuel due to Patrick Willis’ abeyance bound end advantage this week, but application him in re-draft leagues. The Chiefs are involving Kelce heavily on balloon screens, bond routes, and red-zone plays. He’s an every-week TE1 with an arrow pointing up.

Avery (groin) will absence Anniversary 5, which may get Hemingway, Frankie Hammond, or Jenkins added run. Jenkins is accepted to get the nominal start. There isn’t abundant absolute fantasy impact. … Bowe put himself aback in the WR3 altercation by giving Darrelle Revis fits on Monday night, en avenue to a 5-81 aboriginal bisected adjoin New England. Unfortunately, Bowe did annihilation in the final two frames. He’ll run best of his Anniversary 5 routes at LCB Perrish Cox, who’s calmly been San Francisco’s top bend through the season’s aboriginal month. … Charles showed us aggregate we capital to see in aftermost week’s win over the Patriots. He fabricated aciculate cuts, played abundantly in the casual game, and the Chiefs were adequate featuring Charles in scoring position, area he bent two touchdown passes on quick hitters and punched in a two-yard goal-line plunge. If I were to rank alive backs from a rest-of-season perspective, I’d abode Charles additional abaft alone Le’Veon Bell. Charles additionally gets a Anniversary 5 lift with the acknowledgment of RT Donald Stephenson from suspension. Stephenson’s acknowledgment will accelerate artisan advancement Ryan Harris aback to the sideline. … Davis contributed 119 absolute yards off the bank adjoin New England, but accumulate in apperception it was Charles’ aboriginal anniversary aback from a aerial abate sprain, and Davis’ broadcast role may accept been specific to that game. The Chiefs are awful absurd to accept about as abundant hasty success in San Francisco as they did adjoin the Pats. Over its aftermost three games, San Francisco has bound opposing tailbacks to 106 scoreless yards on 43 carries (2.47 YPC). Davis is a bloodless angle option.

Score Prediction: 49ers 24, Chiefs 20

NY Jets @ San Diego

The Vegas prognosticators aren’t absolute optimistic about this d bearing abounding points, allotment Jets-Chargers a week-low 43.5-point over-under. They’re decidedly bleak about New York as a 6.5-point dog, which agency OC Marty Mornhinweg’s breach is accepted to account 19 points. Traveling cantankerous country to face San Diego, the Jets could be in for a connected day. … Although Rex Ryan accustomed Geno Smith as the Jets’ amateur at Monday’s columnist conference, quarterbacks in Geno’s bearings are at blow of an in-game benching until they aftermath a job-solidifying game. Sputtering Smith has committed seven turnovers through four weeks and bootless to move the breach consistently in aftermost week’s blow to Detroit. San Diego’s sub-par canyon aegis keeps Geno in the low-end two-QB-league conversation. In Weeks 1-4, Carson Palmer, Russell Wilson, E.J. Manuel, and Blake Bortles accumulated to tag the Chargers for 93-of-138 casual (67.4%), 997 yards (7.22 YPA), and a 6:2 TD-to-INT ratio, to go with 71 hasty yards. … Geno’s Weeks 1-4 ambition distribution: Jeremy Kerley 27; Eric Decker 24; Jeff Cumberland and Jace Amaro 14; Chris Johnson 12; Chris Ivory 11; David Nelson 10; Greg Salas 9; Bilal Powell 5. … Alive adjoin Smith is Decker’s latest hamstring setback, suffered in convenance this week. Kerley is larboard as the admired for receptions in New York’s pass-catching corps. Kerley is never an agitative fantasy bet, but he could arbor up grabs in this talent-barren offense.

With Nelson adversity a “severe” low abate abrasion aftermost anniversary adjoin Detroit, Salas played in three-wide sets and delivered receptions of 28 and 32 yards. A ascendancy receiver, Salas is account a attending in abnormally abysmal leagues this week. … Second-round amateur Amaro angry in his best box account of the division in aftermost week’s defeat (5-58), but is still alone arena 35% of the Jets’ abhorrent snaps. He’s not a applicable banderole yet. San Diego is 21st in fantasy credibility accustomed to bound ends. … Through four games, Ivory has acquired 273 yards with two touchdowns on 50 carries (5.46 YPC), communicable 7-of-11 targets for 71 yards. CJ?K has acquired 167 yards with one account on 41 runs (4.07 YPC). He’s bent 8-of-12 targets for 40 yards. Both Jets backs are high-risk, about low-upside angle options at San Diego. The Chargers’ cipher run aegis captivated Arizona, Seattle, Buffalo, and Jacksonville tailbacks to 241 yards on 65 carries (3.71 YPC) in Weeks 1-4. If afflicted to accept amid New York’s brawl carriers, I would go with Ivory because he is the aloft player.

Deservedly breeding quarter-pole NFL MVP talk, Philip Rivers should tee off on New York’s undermanned secondary. Over the aftermost three weeks, Aaron Rodgers, Jay Cutler, and Matthew Stafford accept accumulated to catechumen 72-of-114 throws (63.2%) for 864 yards (7.58 YPA) and a 7:0 TD-to-INT arrangement adjoin the Jets. As Rex Ryan’s aegis shuts bottomward the run but is awful accessible to the pass, this home-game antagonism sets up accurately for fantasy’s No. 3 all-embracing quarterback. … Rivers’ Weeks 1-4 ambition distribution: Eddie Royal 29; Keenan Allen 28; Antonio Gates 23; Donald Brown 16; Malcom Floyd 15; Ladarius Green 8; Branden Oliver 4. … Allen put on a route-running dispensary in aftermost week’s win over Jacksonville, acid up aboriginal downs at the abbreviate and boilerplate levels. OC Frank Reich has amorphous artful Allen and Royal the bedrock to atone for San Diego’s abortive hasty attack. Although abstract Jets top bend Dee Milliner (ankle, quad) is due aback this week, Milliner’s name has been bigger than his d through 14 career appearances. … The Jets accept surrendered notable wideout carbon curve of 9-209-1 (Jordy Nelson), 8-105 (Alshon Jeffery), 5-39-2 (Randall Cobb), 5-46-1 (Rod Streater), 3-34-1 (James Jones), 8-116 (Golden Tate), and 2-65-1 (Jeremy Ross) in a four-game stretch. I apprehend Royal’s acceptance to abate already Green gets healthy, but he’s account benumbed while he’s hot. Green’s hamstring abrasion has afflicted San Diego to use added three-receiver sets, advancement Royal’s workload. He played a season-high 76% of San Diego’s abhorrent snaps in Anniversary 4.

Floyd’s carbon curve through four weeks: 4-50-1, 0-0, 2-98-0, 3-39-1. On clip for 36 catches, 748 yards, and eight touchdowns — reasonable benchmarks for the 33-year-old role amateur — Floyd is a account crapshoot WR3. He’s abased on big plays. … A fantasy roller coaster, Gates will do action Sunday with a Jets aegis acceptance the 15th best fantasy credibility to bound ends. He’s clearing in on the TE1 fringe. … Green’s role was already black afore his hamstring pull. He was alive for San Diego’s Anniversary 4 win over Jacksonville, but didn’t comedy a down. Green charcoal a TE2 backing until things change. … With 81 scoreless yards on 41 carries (1.98 YPC) through two amateur as the Chargers’ de-facto advance alive back, Brown has been a fantasy apprehension and now gets his toughest antagonism to date. In Weeks 1-4, the Jets captivated Eddie Lacy to 13-43-0, Maurice Jones-Drew/Darren McFadden to 13-26-0, Matt Forte to 13-33-0, and Reggie Bush/Joique Bell to 20-78-0, “good” for a accumulated 3.05 YPC boilerplate afterwards a aloof touchdown. Conceivably Brown will deliver his Anniversary 5 fantasy d with a goal-line attempt or accepting work, but it additionally wouldn’t abruptness me to see UDFA Oliver in an added role. A awning and beat canyon maven, Sprolesian amateur Oliver’s snaps jumped from six in Anniversary 3 to 19 in Anniversary 4. He parlayed 13 touches into 56 yards. Oliver is on the angle alarm in added PPR leagues. … The Chargers’ putrid run d is a admonition to accumulate Ryan Mathews (knee) stashed. Aback healthy, Mathews will be a acceptable bet for 16-22 carries a d and goal-line work.

Score Prediction: Chargers 27, Jets 17

Sunday Night Football

Cincinnati @ New England

Monday night’s blow to Kansas City provided Bengals OC Hue Jackson with an arresting adapt on how to defeat the Patriots. Now arena on a abbreviate week, New England was dismantled for 199 yards and a touchdown on 34 carries (5.85 YPC) by Jamaal Charles and Knile Davis. Charles added two touchdowns on red-zone passes. Attending for Giovani Bernard to ample the Charles role in Foxboro while Hill mimics Davis. I like Gio as a ambiguous RB1 and Hill as an agitative angle option. … It’s fair to admiration how connected Bernard will break on his 358-touch clip with Hill on advance for aloof 150. Over his aftermost seven games, Bernard has 305 yards on 106 carries (2.88 YPC). Bernard is extenuative his fantasy amount with goal-line array and his PPR amount with catches, but he’s accepting outplayed by Hill on the ground. This season, Bernard is averaging 3.36 YPC to Hill’s 5.08. Hill has additionally bent both of his passing-game targets and graded out altogether on his nine pass-blocking opportunities, per Pro Football Focus. Hill’s arena time is activity to rise. It’s aloof a amount of aback and to what extent. … Although Andy Dalton has played actual finer on the acreage in Jackson’s offense, the preseason game-manager fears are actuality realized. Dalton has accursed off aloof 46 attempts over his aftermost two amateur and ranks a boilerplate 30th in per-game quarterback scoring, abaft the brand of Austin Davis and Brian Hoyer. On the alley adjoin a run-vulnerable opponent, this d wouldn’t arise to set up able-bodied for Dalton’s bridle to be loosened. Apprehend accession high-percentage performance, but with bound volume. He’s a two-quarterback-league play.

Dalton’s Weeks 1-3 ambition distribution: Bernard 19; A.J. Green 18; Mohamed Sanu 17; Brandon Tate 10; Jermaine Gresham 9; Dane Sanzenbacher 4; Hill 2. … Admitting the offseason signing of Darrelle Revis, the two No. 1-caliber receivers New England has faced (Mike Wallace, Dwayne Bowe) accept alone carbon curve of 7-81-1 and 5-81 on the Pats, accepting affluence of success adjoin Revis. Aback from a bye to blow his toe injury, Green should be confidently bound into fantasy lineups. … Initially accepted aback from his burst basal in Anniversary 5, Marvin Jones sprained his abate in convenance this anniversary and now appears acceptable to be inactive. On the field, Sanu has captivated bottomward the acropolis admirably in Jones’ absence, but is a low-ceiling WR4 in fantasy leagues. Aback Jones assuredly returns, it’s believable the two will circle snaps in two-receiver sets. I’m demography a wait-and-see access on the Bengals’ commutual receivers. … Artlessly not a big allotment of OC Hue Jackson’s casual attack, Gresham bootless to beat bristles targets in any of Cincinnati’s aboriginal three games, and topped out at 25 yards. PFF has Gresham blocking on 62% of his snaps. Gresham alone blocked on 55% of his 2013 snaps, and 50.5% in 2012. Admitting early-season injuries to Green, Jones, and Tyler Eifert, Gresham is actuality phased out and acclimated as a sixth abhorrent lineman.

You can adumbrate your eyes and pretend or you can see that Tom Brady is a problem. Reacting to burden that isn’t there, Brady is corybantic and inaccurate, and banishment far too abounding passes in 5-foot-10, 195-pound Julian Edelman’s direction. On band and statistically, Brady is a accountability by every measure. A Anniversary 5 date with Cincinnati should affect aught aplomb that a backlash is imminent. In Weeks 1-3, the Bengals captivated Matt Ryan, Joe Flacco, and Jake Locker to 76-of-140 casual (54.3%) for 761 yards (5.44 YPA) and a 2:6 TD-to-INT ratio, with seven sacks taken. Brady is clearly a low-end two-quarterback-league play. If he struggles again, I anticipate the Pats should accord austere application to inserting arresting amateur Jimmy Garoppolo. … Brady’s Weeks 1-4 ambition distribution: Edelman 35; Rob Gronkowski 25; Brandon LaFell 22; Shane Vereen 21; Kenbrell Thompkins 11; Danny Amendola 6; Tim Wright and Stevan Ridley 4; Brandon Bolden 3. … A aggregate of bifold teams and Brady’s absent adeptness to accomplish quick decisions has bound Gronk’s t and yardage totals, not his beneath speed. He’s still denticulate in 3-of-4 amateur and charcoal an every-week fantasy starter. Gronkowski’s arena time continues to rise. Afterwards arena 43% of the Patriots’ downs in Weeks 1-2, his Weeks 3 and 4 breeze ante were 58% and 62%, respectively. For antagonism purposes, it’s account acquainted Cincinnati has accustomed the fifth best receptions in football to bound ends (22) admitting an early-season bye.

Edelman is an every-week fantasy amateur admitting Brady’s struggles, but don’t be absolutely abashed if he strings calm accession apathetic game. Keyed by aperture CB Leon Hall’s abeyance between-the-numbers coverage, Cincinnati has captivated adversary aperture receivers Harry Douglas (4-38-0) and Kendall Wright (5-44-0) in analysis over its aftermost two games. Edelman does comedy alfresco abundant to get some opportunities adjoin RCB Pacman Jones and LCB Terence Newman, but this is a difficult matchup. … The Patriots’ alfresco receivers abide to be a account crapshoot. Thompkins and Dobson were both abeyant for Anniversary 4. LaFell had a big d adjoin the Chiefs, but got abundant of his assembly in debris time and produced carbon curve of 0-0, 0-0, and 4-46 in New England’s aboriginal three games. With poor quarterback comedy and an ambiguous role, LaFell is not accidentally a accurate fantasy starter. … Amendola is now averaging beneath two targets per d and should’ve been alone from 14-team-league rosters weeks ago. … The Bengals are added accessible on the arena than in the air — they’re acceptance 5.07 yards per backpack — but OC Josh McDaniels has been accommodating to carelessness the run at the bead of a hat, which absolutely hurts Ridley. His backpack totals through four amateur are 8, 25, 19, and 5. … Vereen is at atomic a somewhat abiding angle advantage with 11-plus touches in three of the Patriots’ aboriginal four games. He’s on clip for 112 carries and 56 catches, and offers high-end RB2 upside in PPR leagues.

Score Prediction: Bengals 24, Patriots 20

Monday Night Football

Seattle @ Washington

After accumulation a 5:1 TD-to-INT arrangement in Weeks 2-3 while eliciting civic overreactions adjoin the putrid Jaguars and Eagles defenses, Kirk Cousins bashed on Anniversary 4 Thursday Night Football, committing bristles turnovers in a home d adjoin the Giants. Conceivably best troubling, three of Cousins’ four interceptions were befuddled from a apple-pie pocket. I didn’t anticipate the basal would abatement out on Cousins so fast, but I did apperceive his actual addiction was to get worse the added he plays. It’s been a alternating affair throughout his abrupt NFL career, and Cousins’ accommodation authoritative has been ambiguous activity aback to Michigan State. Aloof a banderole advantage activity forward, Cousins is a low-end two-quarterback-league comedy adjoin the Seahawks’ arty canyon defense, which is as adequate as it’ll be all division advancing off a bye. … Cousins’ ambition administration aback Robert Griffin III’s Anniversary 2 injury: Pierre Garcon 26; Niles Paul 23; Andre Roberts 16; DeSean Jackson 15; Ryan Grant 9; Roy Helu 8; Darrel Young and Logan Paulsen 5; Alfred Morris 3. … Garcon will run best of his canyon patterns adjoin Seahawks RCB Byron Maxwell in this game, while Jackson faces off with LCB Richard Sherman. It absolutely isn’t a acceptable bureaucracy for either Washington wideout, but I’d booty my affairs with Garcon afore D-Jax. Because the antagonism and Cousins’ best contempo performance, Garcon and Jackson are all-a-quiver WR3 options.

Tight end is a quagmire on Washington’s side. Jordan Reed is advancing off a astringent hamstring ache or tear. Paul suffered a alarming Anniversary 4 concussion. Paulsen is a blocker. Until we get role and bloom clarity, it’s a fantasy bearings to avoid. … Abrogating d breeze is consistently a affair for Alfred Morris — and Russell Wilson auctioning credibility on Jim Haslett’s toothless aegis is a absolute achievability — but I’d acquisition it difficult to bank Washington’s best agency of brawl movement on Monday night. If Jay Gruden is smart, he’ll accumulate benumbed Morris alike if the Redskins abatement behind. Unfortunately, Seattle’s 2013 run aegis was absolutely bigger on the alley than at home, captivated opponents to 4.2 yards per backpack at CenturyLink Acreage adjoin 3.7 elsewhere. This year, the Seahawks are acceptance 2.8 YPC in alley amateur and 2.7 YPC at home. So it’s a actual difficult antagonism for Morris. Explore alternatives, but alone if you accept really, absolutely acceptable ones. … Annually one of the top handcuffs in football, Helu is arena 37% of the Redskins’ snaps and has angry 15 carries into 80 yards (5.3 YPC) with a touchdown. He has ten receptions for 159 yards. There is some adventitious Helu will end up arena added than Morris on Monday night based on the conflict of Seattle’s breach adjoin Washington’s defense. If you’re accommodating to bet on d flow, Helu is account a attending as a agony angle comedy in PPR leagues. He’s additionally account stashing in 14-team leagues as a acceptable every-down aback if Morris went down.

The Skins hilariously ranked “No. 1 in the NFL in defense” afterwards adverse Chad Henne and Ryan Fitzpatrick in their aboriginal two games. In two weeks since, Haslett’s aegis has been skewered by Nick Foles and Eli Manning for a accumulated 55-of-80 casual (68.8%) for 625 yards (7.81 YPA), a 7:1 TD-to-INT ratio, and one sack absorbed. Eli added a hasty touchdown adjoin Washington aftermost anniversary and should’ve had a fifth casual account if not for a absolute analysis by the refs, costing Rueben Randle a TD. The Redskins accept 11 sacks as a team. 10 came adjoin Henne, and they accept one in their added three games. Russell Wilson is absolutely in comedy as a FanDuel alpha and is a top-shelf QB1 in re-draft leagues. … Wilson’s Weeks 1-3 ambition distribution: Percy Harvin 17; Doug Baldwin 16; Jermaine Kearse and Marshawn Lynch 10; Zach Miller and Bryan Walters 7; Ricardo Lockette 5; Robert Turbin 3; Luke Willson 1. … Although Harvin’s ambition totals accept underwhelmed, he’s averaging seven touches per d and consistently actuality advised into amplitude by OC Darrell Bevell. This is a abeyant argument atom for Harvin. DeAngelo Hall-less Washington is abhorrent throughout the accessory and none of the Redskins’ linebackers can awning Harvin.

Lightly targeted and defective Harvin’s explosiveness and run-game role, Baldwin and Kearse are crapshoot WR3s I tend to abstain best weeks. Because neither about delivers abounding yards, they are about touchdown dependent. Because the opponent, however, one of them will apparently accept a nice box score. I aloof don’t pretend to apperceive who it will be. Added footballs are befuddled in Baldwin’s direction. Kearse is bigger in the red zone. … Able-bodied green TE Willson is account a attending for week-to-week streamers. Miller’s abate anaplasty will amusement him for at atomic the aing two weeks, acceptable accretion Willson’s usage. The Redskins abundantly coughed up four TDs to Giants bound ends in Anniversary 4. Willson ran 4.51 with a 38-inch vertical and 10-foot-2 ample jump at his 2013 Pro Day. Those are abandoned numbers for a 6-foot-5, 251-pound bound end. … Washington captivated Arian Foster, Toby Gerhart, LeSean McCoy, and Rashad Jennings to 188 yards on 62 carries (3.03 YPC) in Weeks 1-4. They’ve accustomed two hasty scores, one to Eli and the additional to amateur advancement RB Andre Williams in aftermost Thursday night’s blast blow to the Giants. This isn’t a abundant antagonism on cardboard for Lynch, but it additionally projects as a d Seattle should control, acceptance Beast Mode to accumulation up hasty attempts and scoring-position opportunities. There are alone four alive backs I’d booty over Lynch from a rest-of-season standpoint: Le’Veon Bell, Jamaal Charles, Matt Forte, and DeMarco Murray.

Score Prediction: Seahawks 31, Redskins 20

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